US crude oil inventories rose by 0.62 million barrels in the week ending August 29, 2025, after a 0.97 million-barrel decline the previous week. The increase came as a surprise, as markets had expected a 3.4 million-barrel draw.

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Rally Extends Toward 50-Day Average Resistance.Natural gas extended its rebound to $3.13, clearing key resistance levels, but faces another important resistance test at the declining 50-Day average near $3.15.

The Ibovespa slipped 0.3% to close at 139,864, weighed down by deteriorating growth dynamics and rising political uncertainty. Brazil’s industrial production fell 0.2% in July from June—the fourth straight month of contraction—while year-on-year output rose modestly just 0.2%, clearly showing that expensive credit continues to hinder manufacturing activity. Services are showing only a marginal easing rather than a rebound, with the PMI inching up to 49.3 in August but remaining in contraction territory. On top of the economic cooling, political unease persists as the Supreme Federal Court begins the final stage of Jair Bolsonaro’s coup trial, raising execution risk around governance and institutional stability. Petrobras (-1%), Ambev (-2.1%), Eletrobras (-1.1%), and Itaúsa (-1.3%), were among top laggards.

The S&P/TSX Composite rose 0.5% to close at a record 28,751 on Wednesday as gains in major financials and miners lifted the index while investors looked ahead to key Canadian and US labor reports that could shape monetary policy at the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve. BMO led financials with a 1.6% increase, and Wheaton Precious Metals advanced 1.1% to pace the mining sector. In contrast, energy stocks lagged as oil prices fell on reports that OPEC+ may raise output at its upcoming meeting, surprising markets that had largely expected production levels to remain unchanged.

Wall Street ended mixed on Wednesday as tech strength offset broader market weakness, with investors weighing a favorable antitrust ruling for Google against signs of labor market softening. The S&P 500 gained 0.5% and the Nasdaq rose 1%, supported by a 9.1% surge in Alphabet shares after a judge allowed the company to keep Chrome and maintain its lucrative search deal with Apple, easing fears of a forced breakup. Apple stock rose 3.8%, helping boost confidence in Big Tech’s resilience despite regulatory pressures. Conversely, the Dow fell 24 points as weakness in financials and energy offset tech gains. On the data front, the JOLTS report showed the number of job openings fell to the lowest since September while factory orders declined 1.3%. Treasuries rallied as yields pulled back, with traders now almost fully pricing in a 25-basis-point rate cut at the Fed’s September meeting. On the earnings front, Macy’s EPS results topped forecasts, sending its shares up over 19%.

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