USD into Inflation Week: Oil, EUR/USD, USD/JPY.It's a big week for US data as we get U.S. inflation data that will probably start to show the initial impacts of higher oil prices. Core PCE is released on Thursday and then CPI a day later, with headline CPI expected to have jumped to 3.3% from last month's 2.4% print.

APAC FX: Intervention and vulnerability to USD – BNY.APAC FX: Intervention and vulnerability to USD – BNY

USD/JPY eases as US-Iran ceasefire talks weigh on US Dollar, ISM PMI softens.USD/JPY eases as US-Iran ceasefire talks weigh on US Dollar, ISM PMI softens

WTI Oil: Bulls Pause Under One-Month High.WTI oil price edged lower on Monday after hitting new marginally higher high ($115.42) on a partial profit taking from over 13% rally in the previous trading session on Thursday.

US ISM Services Misses as Prices Jump to 2022 High, Jobs Contract on Iran Oil Shock.US ISM Services PMI slowed in March, but the bigger signal came from inflation, with prices surging to the highest level since 2022 as the Iran-driven oil shock feeds through the economy. The headline index fell from 56.1 to 54.0, missing expectations of 55.0, pointing to moderating growth even as cost pressures intensify.

Crude Oil Price Analysis – Crude Oil Continues to Move to Headlines.The light crude oil markets jumped to start the session on Monday, but have since settled back down as headlines drive where we go next.

S&P Global Canada services PMI 47.2 versus 46.5 last month.Bottom line: The sector remains in contraction, pressured by war-driven uncertainty and rising costs, but there are early signs of stabilization and improved sentiment.

Asian FX: Energy shock risks weigh on regional currencies – MUFG.Asian FX: Energy shock risks weigh on regional currencies – MUFG

Trump Iran ceasefire talks unapproved; Market Uncertainty Persists.A proposed 45-day ceasefire between the U.S. and Iran is currently being discussed but remains one of several options under consideration, with no formal approval from President Trump. A White House official emphasized that the President has not signed off on the plan, and that military operations (“Operation Epic Fury”) are ongoing.

US: Services growth seen easing on Iran uncertainty – TD Securities.US: Services growth seen easing on Iran uncertainty – TD Securities

Crude Oil –06.04.2026.  Crude Oil met the targets of 102.50, 104.35 and closed toward the 107.70 zone. As we see over the Intraday chart, the advance is facing some pressures with the first support around 104.35-75, where as long as the market holds above it, the advance could expand towards 112.70 and above.

USD/JPY –06.04.2026.  The pair dropped towards the target and support of 157.25-65 and managed to rebound again. The market is still holding a trading zone with resistances around 160.20 and 161.95, where each resistance could lead to a correction toward the 157.25-65 zone.

Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP bounces back against US Dollar.Pound Sterling Price News and Forecast: GBP bounces back against US Dollar

GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Pound recovery hits resistance at 211.45.GBP/JPY Price Analysis: Pound recovery hits resistance at 211.45

USD/JPY: Yen slide and BoJ risks – BNY.USD/JPY: Yen slide and BoJ risks – BNY

Indian companies' $7 billion NDF surge shows firms seized rupee arbitrage from banks.Indian companies' activity in the non-deliverable forwards (NDF) market surged to over $7 billion on March 30, around ​seven times the average, signaling a rush to capture ‌arbitrage opportunities created by banks unwinding positions following regulatory curbs.

Rupee ends little changed, hemmed in by position unwinding, importer hedging.The Indian rupee closed nearly unchanged on Monday, wedged between ​dollar sales spurred by the ​unwinding of arbitrage positions and importers' hedging demand amid swirling ​risks from the Iran war.

Crude Oil Weekly Outlook: OPEC+ Production Increases Face Hormuz Risks.OPEC+ production increases face mounting risks tied to the Strait of Hormuz, as the US–Iran deadline approaches on Tuesday. Crude prices remain vulnerable to headline-driven swings, whether pointing to prolonged disruptions or a path toward stabilization.

Chart alert: WTI crude oil whipsawed above 20-day MA ahead of Trump's speech and US-Iran ceasefire hopes.WTI crude oil remains volatile as prices whipsaw above $110 amid shifting US–Iran ceasefire expectations and Trump's latest rhetoric. After breaking above $102.25, oil surged toward $116 before reversing, highlighting fragile sentiment.

USD: Oil-driven support reshapes path – OCBC.USD: Oil-driven support reshapes path – OCBC

Iran says it has formulated a response to the US, will announce it in due time.The headline comes from Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson in saying that Tehran has formulated its diplomatic response to the US but will only announce it in due time. We have to wait and see but there is a mixed reception towards all the headlines from the rumour mill in the past 24 hours.

Pound Sterling bounces back against US Dollar as market sentiment improves.Pound Sterling bounces back against US Dollar as market sentiment improves

Canadian Dollar strengthens as US-Iran ceasefire talks weigh on US Dollar.Canadian Dollar strengthens as US-Iran ceasefire talks weigh on US Dollar

USD: Escalation risks support Dollar strength – MUFG.USD: Escalation risks support Dollar strength – MUFG

The Week Ahead – More Uncertainty, More Risks.(NAS100) Nasdaq attempts another record The US dollar and Gold aren't the only markets awaiting the next speech by President Trump, the (NAS100) Nasdaq, along with many stocks, is looking to break free from its current correction. As the index looks for some relief, the recent upswing in fortunes has given prices some breathing room […]

 USD/JPY eases to 159.40 amid hopes of a peace deal in Iran. USD/JPY eases to 159.40 amid hopes of a peace deal in Iran

Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: WTI Eyes $115 as Truce Rumors Spark Profit-Taking – What's Next for Oil?.WTI Crude takes a breather at $111 as traders weigh a potential 45-day US-Iran truce against ongoing Strait of Hormuz risks. Is the next stop $115.40?

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Eyes triangle top near 185.00 as bullish bias holds.EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Eyes triangle top near 185.00 as bullish bias holds

Oil: Supply shock drives global divergence – BNY.Oil: Supply shock drives global divergence – BNY

Iran acknowledges receiving US ceasefire proposal through Pakistan - Reuters.Iran acknowledges receiving US ceasefire proposal through Pakistan - Reuters