US Dollar Forecast: DXY Rebound Signals Caution Despite Ceasefire Relief.The US Dollar Index rebounds after early losses as falling Treasury yields pressure USD, while ceasefire uncertainty keeps traders cautious.

Crude Oil –09.04.2026.  Prices managed to hit a low around 86.88 yesterday while the market still holds chances for a trading zone. As we see over the chart, the market is facing a support zone at 86.10-84.20 which could give the chance for a trading zone towards the 93.00-60 resistance.

USD/JPY –09.04.2026.  The pair managed again to hit another correction while still facing the support zone of 157.25-65, which could hold prices inside this trading zone toward resistances 160.20 or 161.95. Above 161.95 the market could enter a new uptrend wave with first target toward 163.80.

Dollar Might Enter a More Neutral Pattern.Markets experienced an impressive ‘relieve squeeze' after the US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire that should allow for a more in-depth solution to the conflict. Visibility on how this process will develop and what it eventually might yield in the end remains low with US and Iranian starting points miles apart.

Austria Trade Balance increased to €-66.7M in January from previous €-1301M.Austria Trade Balance increased to €-66.7M in January from previous €-1301M

Natural Gas and Oil Forecast: Oil Plummets 19% on Ceasefire – Will WTI Hold $94.00?.WTI Crude stabilizes near $98 after a historic 19% plunge triggered by easing Middle East tensions. Discover why the 0.618 Fibonacci level is now the critical floor.

World Bank says risks to India's projected 6.6% growth in FY27 skewed to downside.Risks to ​India's projected growth ‌of 6.6% for the fiscal year 2026/27 are ​skewed to the ​downside even as ample ⁠foreign exchange buffers ​and a well-capitalised banking ​system help manage risks, the World Bank said ​on Thursday.

Middle East Truce Lifts Markets, But Tensions Persist.From the US, February PCE data and final Q4 GDP are due for release in the afternoon. While the PCE is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation, the pre-war data will likely gather less attention than usual.

German Industrial Production declines 0.3% MoM in February vs. 0.9% expected.German Industrial Production declines 0.3% MoM in February vs. 0.9% expected

Germany Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY) up to 0% in February from previous -1.2%.Germany Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY) up to 0% in February from previous -1.2%

US 10-Year Yield “V” Shaped Rebound Signals Rejection of Iran Ceasefire Optimism.The market reaction to the two-week US-Iran ceasefire is already turning, with signs of rejection of ceasefire optimism emerging across key asset classes. What initially appeared as a decisive de-escalation could be reassessed as a fragile truce, not peace, with markets are pricing risk re-entry as early doubts take hold.

WTI holds gains near $92.00 as Strait of Hormuz remains constrained.WTI holds gains near $92.00 as Strait of Hormuz remains constrained

Japan consumer sentiment plunges in March as US-Iran conflict weighs.The main consumer confidence index takes a dive from 39.7 in February to 33.3 in March. And that is the weakest reading since the middle of last year.

USD/JPY Price Forecast: Remains below 159.00 as bulls stay cautious amid softer USD demand.USD/JPY Price Forecast: Remains below 159.00 as bulls stay cautious amid softer USD demand

Japan Consumer Confidence Index came in at 33.3 below forecasts (38) in March.Japan Consumer Confidence Index came in at 33.3 below forecasts (38) in March

BoJ's Ueda says Japan's financial conditions remain accommodative.BoJ's Ueda says Japan's financial conditions remain accommodative

Oil Price Forecast: US-Iran Ceasefire Uncertainty Keeps Brent and WTI Volatile.Oil prices rebound as ceasefire uncertainty and ongoing Middle East tensions keep supply risks elevated, with volatility likely to persist as markets balance geopolitical developments and key technical levels.

Netherlands, The Consumer Price Index n.s.a (YoY) meets forecasts (2.7%) in March.Netherlands, The Consumer Price Index n.s.a (YoY) meets forecasts (2.7%) in March

Netherlands, The Consumer Spending Volume declined to -0.5% in February from previous 0%.Netherlands, The Consumer Spending Volume declined to -0.5% in February from previous 0%

EUR/JPY advances above 185.00 as fiscal expansion pressures Japanese Yen.EUR/JPY advances above 185.00 as fiscal expansion pressures Japanese Yen

Japan reportedly considering releasing about 20 days of additional oil reserves.There's not much other detail from the report, besides noting that the Japanese government is said to be mulling over releasing an additional amount of oil from its reserves. The timing could be as early as May, with about 20 days' worth of oil to be released.

Singapore expected to tighten monetary policy as energy crisis fans inflation.Singapore is poised to tighten monetary policy at a ​review next week, with the Middle East war driving up energy prices, stoking inflation and darkening the growth ‌outlook at home and abroad.

investingLive Asia-Pacific FX news wrap: Shaky ceasefire, USD claws some back.Skepticism around the ceasefire agreement remains high, leaving markets cautious as signs of fragility continue to emerge. The deal appears to be under strain, with Israel maintaining its parallel conflict against Iran-aligned Hezbollah in Lebanon, while Tehran has accused both Israel and the United States of violating the agreement, warning that further negotiations would be “unreasonable” under current conditions.

US Dollar Index moves little due to renewed safe-haven demand.US Dollar Index moves little due to renewed safe-haven demand

RBNZ's Breman: Ready to Act Decisively with Rate Hikes if Inflation Jumps.RBNZ Governor Anna Breman delivered a clear warning that inflation risks are shifting to the upside, reinforcing a tightening bias despite a softer growth outlook. Speaking to Bloomberg TV, Breman said “the balance of risks have shifted in terms of inflation,” signaling growing concern that price pressures could re-accelerate.

Rupee contends with doubts over Iran truce; oil ticks up, risk rally peters.The Indian rupee will open Thursday amid concerns that the Iran ceasefire may not fully restore oil supplies through the key Strait of Hormuz, ​nudging oil prices higher and weighing on risk assets.

Fed Minutes: Rates Near Neutral, Cuts Still Seen but No Longer a Given.The clearest signal from the March FOMC minutes is that policymakers collectively shifted away from any presumption of continued easing. With rates now judged to be “within a range of plausible estimates of its neutral level” following last year's 75bps cuts, the bar for further policy easing has been materially raised.

FOMC Members Highlight Inflation Risks in March.The minutes showed that the committee is still concerned about inflation remaining above 2%. Some noted that “progress in reducing inflation had been absent in recent months” and that “the rate of increase in core goods prices remained well above the pace likely to be consistent with the sustainable achievement of the Committee's inflation objective”.

Canadian Dollar slips as USD safe-haven bid offsets oil rebound.Canadian Dollar slips as USD safe-haven bid offsets oil rebound

RBNZ's Breman: New Zealand could see stronger growth if Middle East conflict ends soon.RBNZ's Breman: New Zealand could see stronger growth if Middle East conflict ends soon