Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – WTI Oil Soars 16% As Trump Demands Iran's Unconditional Surrender.Oil traders enjoy an epic rally as Kuwait is forced to cut production.

US Dollar Forecast: DXY Steadies as Rising Oil Prices Offset Weak Payrolls.DXY consolidates as rising oil prices fuel inflation concerns while weak U.S. payrolls pressure yields, leaving Fed policy expectations and rate-cut timing uncertain.

Australian central banker says US dollar remains a safe haven for investors.A top Australian central banker said on Friday that the days of U.S. "exorbitant privilege" may be coming to an end, ​but the dollar's safe-haven rally this week after the ‌Middle East war suggests any change will be glacial.

Fed's Hammack says interest rates likely on hold for some time.Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said Friday she sees no imminent need to change the stance of monetary policy in an economy ​where inflation is still “too high.”

Middle East escalation sends shockwaves through global energy markets.The escalation between Israel and Iran has triggered major disruption in the Persian Gulf, rattling oil and LNG markets, straining Gulf exporters, and deepening concerns over inflation and energy security.

Iran launches attack on US forces in Bahrain, and in Baghdad..Reports that Iran is launching attacks on US forces in Bahrain, and also attacking military base housing US diplomatic centered near Baghdad international airport. The price of crude oil is extending above the $92 level.

Emerging market equity funds slide as Iran conflict sparks selloff.Emerging market equity funds have posted steep declines this month as investors cut exposure to risk ​assets amid the escalating Iran conflict, making them among ‌the worst performers across asset classes.

US Dollar Today: Payrolls Shock Raises Questions for Fed Policy.The US dollar steadied against major peers after the latest US non-farm payrolls report surprised markets with an unexpected contraction in employment, although analysts say temporary factors likely exaggerated the weakness. The US economy lost 92,000 jobs in February, well below expectations for a 55,000 gain, while revisions showed.

U.S. Dollar Retreats From Session Highs After Weak Jobs Data: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY.The weak Non Farm Payrolls report raised worries about the health of the U.S. economy.

Atlanta Fed GDPNow Q1 estimate 2.1% versus 3.2% previously.The Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimate for Q1 has declined to 2.1% from 3.2%. The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the first quarter of 2026 is 2.1 percent on March 6, down from 3.0 percent on March 2.

Natural Gas Price Analysis – Short Covering into the Weekend?.The natural gas markets have rallied a bit during the day on Friday as we head into a potentially dangerous weekend. However, most traders will need to understand that this is an American contract.

Crude Oil Price Analysis – Crude Oil Skyrockets.The crude oil markets continue to see a lot of volatility, as oil has broken above the resistance area that we have been watching for a few days now.

Weekly Focus – Modest Reaction to Large Conflict.Since Saturday, Israel and the US have been attacking Iran from the air with Iran firing back with missiles and drones against targets throughout the Middle East. Iran has also effectively closed ship traffic through the Strait of Hormuz which removes a significant share of seaborne oil, oil products and natural gas from the global market.

Non-Farm Payrolls large miss and Oil explodes higher to $90 – A Stagflation cocktail ahead of weekend risk.Market Outlook: US Markets face a dark day as Non-Farm Payrolls miss expectations with a loss of 92,000 jobs. Combined with a miss in Retail Sales and exploding Oil prices due to Middle East tensions, stagflation fears are rising.

US business inventories for December 0.1% versus 0.1% expected.For what it is worth, the US business and retail inventories for the month of December was released: Business inventories rose 0.1% versus 0.1% expected. Prior month was revised lower to 0.0% from 0.1%.

DAX, USD/JPY, XLU and NVDA Forecast – Markets Making Highs, Breaking Down, and Going Sideways All Offer Possibilities.I'm looking at a wide range of assets for treading on Friday, and heading into the weekend.

Investors cling to shock-absorber trades as Iran war brings economic visibility to zero.Some of the most crowded trades of the past year are emerging as the key shock absorbers for any potential market pain as war in the Middle East moves into a second week, bringing visibility over inflation and monetary policy to ​zero.

Why is the UK at high risk from Iran-fuelled energy price surge?.Britain faces bigger risks from a jump in inflation driven by the conflict in the Middle East than many other European countries, just as the country's high rate of price growth seemed to be coming to an end.

US: Employment Unexpectedly Declines in February and Unemployment Rate Tcks up to 4.4%.Nonfarm payrolls declined by 92k in February, well below the consensus forecast calling for a gain of 55k. Revisions to the two prior months subtracted a total of 69k from the previously reported figures, with the bulk of the revisions concentrated in December.

Oil Shock Drowns Out Weak NFP, Risk Aversion Supports Dollar.Markets appeared largely unfazed by the shockingly weak US non-farm payroll report, as attention is already occupied by the explosive surge in oil prices. WTI crude has broken decisively above the 85 mark and continues to climb as the US session begins, turning energy markets into the dominant driver of global sentiment.

FOREX US dollar cuts gains after unexpected drop in February payrolls.The ​dollar trimmed gains against major ‌currencies on Friday after data showed an unexpected decline in ​new jobs created in ​the world's largest economy last ⁠month, suggesting that the ​Federal Reserve could cut interest ​rates sooner than expected.

Fed's Waller downplays oil surge as temporary inflation shock.Fed Governor Christopher Waller signaled that the recent surge in oil prices tied to the Middle East conflict may not significantly alter the longer-term inflation outlook. Speaking to Bloomberg Television, Waller acknowledged that Americans will likely see a noticeable jump in gasoline prices in the near term, warning that drivers could be “a little shocked” when they see prices at the pump.

NFP misses big with -92k jobs, but wages hold up.US labor market data delivered a sharp downside surprise in February as non-farm payroll employment contracted by -92k, far below expectations for a 65k increase. The report marks a significant setback for the labor market outlook and contrasts with the relatively resilient signals from earlier indicators such as ADP and ISM employment data.

US January retail sales -0.2% vs -0.3% expected.This is January data, so it's old news and it's not going to change anything for the market as the focus remains on the US-Iran war and the surging energy prices.

Oil News: Crude Oil Futures Jump as War Threatens OPEC Production Flows.Crude oil futures surge above $86 as Middle East war threatens OPEC supply and Strait of Hormuz traffic, pushing bullish oil outlook toward $95 and $100 targets.

War Continues to Roil the Markets. T he war continues to disrupt the global capital markets.   The US dollar remains firm though mostly within the ranges seen in recent days.

WTI: Crude Oil on Track for Biggest Weekly Gain in Four Years.WTI Oil price jumped above $86 per barrel on Friday, extending steep ascend into fifth straight day, on track for the biggest and steepest weekly gain since early 2022, when the war in Ukraine started.

Oil Hits Yearly High as Bull Rally Continues!.Oil prices extended as Qatar's Energy Minister warns of serious oil supply concerns. Higher oil prices are expected to prompt inflationary pressures across the globe, with the new target now at $150 a barrel.

investingLive European markets wrap: Oil prices surge higher on prolonged disruption fears.The big trigger on the session was when Qatar warned of the energy disruption potentially lasting for "weeks to months". That even if tensions start to thaw and the Strait of Hormuz is safe to transit again.

GBP/JPY Forecast: British Pound Noisy Against the Yen on Thursday - 06 March 2026.GBP/JPY is stuck in a volatile range around 210, with 208 as downside support and 212 as the key breakout level for a move toward 215.