Fed's Schmid: Inflation is too hot..Fed's Schmid: Inflation is too hot.

Natural Gas, WTI Oil, Brent Oil Forecasts – WTI Oil Dives 3% As Iran Tensions Ease.Donald Trump's comments indicated that U.S. should not attack Iran in the near term.

WTI Price Forecast: Oil struggles below $60 as bullish momentum fades.WTI Price Forecast: Oil struggles below $60 as bullish momentum fades

Japanese Yen Outlook: USD/JPY Faces 2025 Highs Once Again.A neutral sentiment has begun to consolidate in USD/JPY price action. Over the past three trading sessions, the pair has moved by only about 0.7%, failing to establish a clear direction and alternating between bullish and bearish moves near the highs reached in 2025.

Crude oil forecast: WTI relinquishes entire weekly gain.And just like that, oil prices gave up the entire near-6% weekly gains by afternoon trading in London. Crude oil traders had been pricing in disruptions to Iranian oil in recent days amid concerns about military action in the country by the US.

WTI Oil Sinks as Iran Tensions Abate – Where to Look Now?.Prices were indeed reaching extremes. Yesterday's surge to $62 was met with a sharp, one-way correction back to the low $59s, with the commodity actually finishing the session lower by 1%.

U.S. Dollar Gains Ground On Strong Jobs Data: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY.The American currency is moving higher as traders bet on hawkish Fed.

United States 4-Week Bill Auction rose from previous 3.55% to 3.595%.United States 4-Week Bill Auction rose from previous 3.55% to 3.595%

Natural Gas News: Bearish EIA Inventory Report Threatens $3.00 Support Today.Natural gas futures threaten $3.00 support on bearish EIA inventory report. Storage levels 106 Bcf above average limit rally despite cold weather forecast.

Goolsbee warns Fed independence under threat risks inflation surge.Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee delivered a blunt warning on central bank independence, saying any attempt to undermine the Fed would have severe economic consequences. “Anything that's infringing or attacking the independence of the central bank is a mess,” he told CNBC.

Fed's Bostic: Strong economy warrants restrictive policy.Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic reiterated today that the Federal Reserve needs to keep policy restrictive to address inflation that remains above target. While acknowledging that the labor market has loosened over the past year, Bostic said an unemployment rate of 4.4% still reflects a strong employment backdrop.

USD/JPY consolidates as intervention risks weigh against strong US data.USD/JPY consolidates as intervention risks weigh against strong US data

United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change up to -71B in January 9 from previous -119B.United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change up to -71B in January 9 from previous -119B

Crude Oil Price Outlook – Crude Oil Drops After Trump Comments.The crude oil market has pulled back on Thursday as the markets continue to see a lot of questions about Iran.

Russia's oil and gas budget revenue falls 24% to lowest since 2020.Russia's federal budget revenues from oil and gas dropped by 24% in 2025 to the lowest level since 2020, according to Finance Ministry data.

Erosion of Fed independence would be 'credit negative' for US rating, Fitch says.A major erosion of the Federal Reserve's independence would be negative for ​the U.S. credit rating, Fitch's top ‌sovereign analyst said on Thursday, with any sign that the dollar's top global currency crown could slip the most critical issue.

Fed's Bostic: We need to stay restrictive because inflation is too high.Fed's Bostic: We need to stay restrictive because inflation is too high

Dollar Surges, Fed Cut Bets Slide, as Jobless Claims Drop Below Key 200k Mark.Dollar climbed sharply in early US session as markets continued to pare back bets on a Fed rate cut in Q1 2026, a move driven by stronger-than-expected labor market data. Initial jobless claims fell back below the psychological 200k mark, countering dovish concerns about extended labor-market deterioration.

Fed's Goolsbee: Powell has done a great job.Fed's Goolsbee: Powell has done a great job

US initial jobless claims fall to 198k, signal little labor market stress.US labor market conditions showed renewed firmness, with initial jobless claims falling more than expected in the latest week. Claims dropped by -9k to 198k in the week ending January 10, below expectations of 208k and marking one of the lowest readings of the past year.

GBP/JPY Price Forecast: RSI eases from overbought territory as upside momentum cools.GBP/JPY Price Forecast: RSI eases from overbought territory as upside momentum cools

WTI Oil retreats on easing Iran tensions, Venezuela exports.WTI Oil retreats on easing Iran tensions, Venezuela exports

U.S. Inflation, Tariffs and Data Distortions: What's Next for the Fed?.If you've been waiting for U.S. CPI to magically drop back to the Fed's 2% target, December's data just delivered a reality check. Here's why the inflation story is a bit more complicated than it looks.

US initial jobless claims 198K versus 215K estimate..Initial jobless claims track the weekly number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits for the first time and are one of the most timely indicators of U.S. labor-market health and overall economic momentum. Rising claims can signal increasing job losses and a slowing economy, while declining claims suggest that hiring is outpacing layoffs, pointing to underlying economic strength.

NY Fed manufacturing index for January +7.70 vs +1.0 expected.The New York Fed Manufacturing Index (officially known as the Empire State Manufacturing Survey) is a monthly economic indicator that gauges the health of the manufacturing sector in New York State.

Natural Gas Price Outlook – Natural Gas Looks to Bounce on Inventories.The natural gas markets have bounced slightly during the Thursday morning session, as we wait for the latest inventory numbers.

What I am Watching Today: Exotic Currency Pairs and the Carry Trade, US Indices, Parisian CAC 40.A lot of “sleeper markets” could be the play today.

Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) came in at 1%, above forecasts (0.3%) in November.Brazil Retail Sales (MoM) came in at 1%, above forecasts (0.3%) in November

Brazil central bank liquidates REAG for 'serious rule violations'.Brazil's central bank ordered on Thursday the liquidation of brokerage REAG, currently known as CBSF, according to a document signed by Governor Gabriel Galipolo, in the latest fallout from the collapse of mid-sized lender Banco Master.

GBP: UK GDP beats expectations in November – BBH.GBP: UK GDP beats expectations in November – BBH