Rupee may open at all‑time low, pressured by $100‑plus crude; RBI response eyed.The Indian rupee is poised to hit a record low as soaring global oil prices, driven by the Middle East conflict, intensify concerns over India's external balances. Traders anticipate potential central bank intervention to stabilize the currency, which is already under significant pressure due to rising import costs.

US Dollar rises above 99.50 as Middle East tensions fuel safe-haven demand.US Dollar rises above 99.50 as Middle East tensions fuel safe-haven demand

China CPI jumps to 1.3% as Lunar New Year spending boosts inflation.China's consumer inflation rebounded sharply in February, offering a fresh sign of improving domestic demand. Headline CPI rose from 0.2% yoy to 1.3%, well above expectations of 0.9% and marking the strongest increase in more than three years.

Oil prices surge amid Middle East conflict, WTI climbs above $110.00 to 54-month highs.Oil prices surge amid Middle East conflict, WTI climbs above $110.00 to 54-month highs

Canadian Dollar eases from one-month top vs. firmer USD; surging Oil prices limit losses.Canadian Dollar eases from one-month top vs. firmer USD; surging Oil prices limit losses

New Zealand Dollar holds losses despite hotter Chinese CPI inflation data.New Zealand Dollar holds losses despite hotter Chinese CPI inflation data

Japan wage momentum builds as real earnings rise first time in 13 months.Japan's wage data delivered an encouraging signal for the BoJ at the start of the year. Real wages rose 1.4% yoy in January, rebounding from December's -0.1% contraction and marking the first increase in 13 months.

Japanese Yen declines as US Dollar gains on Middle East conflict.Japanese Yen declines as US Dollar gains on Middle East conflict

Indian rupee, bonds to remain under pressure amid escalating Mideast conflict.The Indian rupee and government bonds are expected to remain under pressure this week, as the deepening conflict in the Middle East clouds the growth and inflation outlooks worldwide and keeps investors risk-averse.

Geopolitical Radar Extra: Contagion Risk from Middle East is Significant.The war in Middle East is rapidly spiraling, showcasing how wars are easy to start, almost impossible to control and difficult to end. Even if it is not our main scenario, readers should prepare for a long war, and one where the broader MENA region and perhaps parts of Europe are to some extent affected as well.

Oil Surges Above $90 as Iran Conflict Escalates, Pressuring Global Markets.The war in the Middle East escalated last week after U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran. Oil prices jumped above $90 per barrel, the highest level since September 2023.

Australian Dollar drops due to Middle East unrest, US Dollar gains, China CPI eyed.Australian Dollar drops due to Middle East unrest, US Dollar gains, China CPI eyed

US President Donald Trump says oil price spike on Iran war a ‘small price to pay'.US President Donald Trump says oil price spike on Iran war a ‘small price to pay'

Wall Street Futures Feel the Heat of Crude Oil Surge.Wall Street futures are under pressure after crude oil surged at the weekly open, as escalating Middle East tensions drive volatility across global markets. With oil prices spiking and equities testing key support levels, traders are bracing for further risk-off moves.

Japan Current Account n.s.a. came in at ¥941.6B, below expectations (¥960B) in January.Japan Current Account n.s.a. came in at ¥941.6B, below expectations (¥960B) in January

Japan Trade Balance - BOP Basis increased to ¥3145B in January from previous ¥2697.1B.Japan Trade Balance - BOP Basis increased to ¥3145B in January from previous ¥2697.1B

Japan Labor Cash Earnings (YoY) up to 3% in January from previous 2.4%.Japan Labor Cash Earnings (YoY) up to 3% in January from previous 2.4%

Dollar surges as US-Iran war pushes oil past $100 a barrel.The dollar took another leg higher on Monday, jumping to a three-month peak on the euro as oil surged past $100 a barrel, stocks slid and investors headed for safety as protracted war in the Middle ​East threatened to disrupt global energy supplies.

Breaking: WTI jumps above $100.50 as Middle East war disrupts fuel supplies.Breaking: WTI jumps above $100.50 as Middle East war disrupts fuel supplies

Oil soars, shares slide in Asia as Middle East conflict rages.Share futures ​fell sharply in Asia on Monday as the inflationary pulse from surging oil prices ‌threatened to raise living costs, and perhaps interest rates, across the globe, while an investor hunger for liquidity kept the U.S. dollar in demand.

China Foreign Exchange Reserves (MoM) increased to $3428T in February from previous $3.428T.China Foreign Exchange Reserves (MoM) increased to $3428T in February from previous $3.428T

Crude Oil Weekly Outlook: WTI Near $92 as Middle East Supply Shocks Intensify.Middle East tensions began with US–Israel–Iran friction over a nuclear deal, then expanded into a broader regional conflict involving shipping and port disruptions, aviation interruptions, oil facility strikes, and partial closure of the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting oil and gas flows both physically and through global pricing.

Oil Price Forecast: Crude Above $90 as Middle East Conflict Escalates — Is $150 Oil Next?.Oil surged above $90 as Middle East tensions disrupted supply and threatened the shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, raising the possibility of a move toward $110 and potentially $150.

WTI Crude Oil Price Forecast as Key Countries Like Kuwait and UAE Slash Production - 08 March 2026.The WTI crude oil price continued its strong rally last week as the impact of the ongoing war in Iran continues. It surged to a multi-year high of $92.66 on Friday, up by 67% from its lowest level this year.

Global Markets This Week: Tariffs and Middle East Conflict Drive Safe-Haven Demand.Global markets remain volatile as the Middle East conflict disrupts energy routes and rising tariffs pressure global trade, driving investors toward safe havens like the U.S. dollar and gold.

Oil Price Forecast: Crude WTI Surges Toward $100 After Explosive Rally.Oil prices surged sharply into the end of the week, with crude settling near $91.30 per barrel after an explosive rally that has pushed the market to its highest levels of 2026. The move represents a dramatic acceleration in momentum.

Week Ahead: War and More War.The Middle East war changes everything. And President Trump's demand for an unconditional surrender makes a near-term off-ramp more difficult to envision.

USD/JPY Weekly Forecast: Energy shock hammers yen as intervention risk looms.Markets over the past week have been almost entirely beholden to the conflict between the United States and Israel against Iran, with the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz at the centre. The disruption has created a clear divide between the energy haves and have-nots in currency markets, with those with vast reserves and production capacity benefiting from a positive terms-of-trade shock, while currencies linked to economies heavily reliant on imported energy have come under pressure.

Markets Weekly Outlook – Geopolitics Overpower Fundamentals: The $150 Oil Warning and Rate Cut.Wall Street's primary indexes tumbled on Friday, led by a sharp decline in the Dow to a three-month low as the market grappled with escalating conflict in the Middle East and a surprising contraction in the US labor market.

The Weekly Bottom Line: Oil's Well… Until it Isn't.Escalating conflict in the Middle East dominated headlines this week. WTI oil prices surged an eye-watering 30% since last Friday to over $89/bbl – it's highest level since late-2023, but changing by the minute (Chart 1).